Wednesday, January 24, 2018

Davos 2018; A 'Bloody Nose' for North Korea?; Turkey Enters Syria; German Coalition Efforts; Failing Venezuela

Quote of the Week:

"The world is led by an increasingly outstanding array - not just of people - but of personas. Hard against the business risk landscape is a collection of assertive leaders who rely on nationalism, and to varying degrees, populism."

-- Charles Hecker, Senior Partner at Control Risks. Watch the video and be sure to join our special KNOW NOW webinar on the Top 5 Risks for 2018featuring Mr. Hecker on Tuesday, January 30, at 2:00-2:45 PM ET.

World Economic Forum: Davos 2018

Davos 2018 Live Stream -- World Economic Forum

"The Five Things to Watch at Davos 2018" Ian Bremmer -- Eurasia Group, January 20, 2018

"What to Expect at Davos 2018" Matthew Goodman; William Allan Reinsch; Sue Mi Terry -- CSIS, January 22, 2018

"'America First Is Not America Alone': Trump Aims to Reset Global Opinion About Him in Davos" Heather Long -- The Washington Post, January 24, 2018

"Davos Attendees Should Beware the Slowing of Potential Growth" Ayahn Kose -- Brookings, January 22, 2018

"Davos Elite Hope Unpredictable Trump Doesn't Spoil Their Fun" Michael Campbell -- Bloomberg, January 33, 2018

Implications of a Preemptive Strike on North Korea

"Limited Strikes on North Korea Would Be an Unlimited Disaster" Luke O'Brien -- Foreign Policy, January 22, 2018

"America Should Not Fall for North Korea's Belligerence" Gracy Olmstead -- The National Interest, January 23, 2018

"American Illusions and Korean Realities: Preventing Conflict on the Korean Peninsula" Stephan Blank -- 38 North, January 18, 2018

Crossing the Line: Turkish Military Forces Enter Syria

"As the Islamic State Battle Ends, Old Feuds Resume" David Ignatius -- RealClear Politics, January 24, 2018

"With Turkish Military Invasion, the Americans Are Once Again Trapped in Syria" Zvi Bar'el -- Haaretz, January 24, 2018

"Will Syria Be Trump's Next Foreign Policy Blunder?" Daniel DePetris -- The National Interest, January 23, 2018

"Could the Kurds Beat Turkey in Syria?" Michael Rubin -- Washington Examiner, January 22, 2018

Another Chance at a German Coalition?

"How Far Can Germany's Social Democrats Bend Before They Break?" Sumi Soma Somaskanda -- The Atlantic, January 23, 2018

"Germany's Left Is Committing Suicide by Identity Politics" Timo Lochocki -- Foreign Policy, January 23, 2018

"Imagining a Post-Merkel Germany" Jochen Bittner -- The New York Times, January 23, 2018

"Germany's Social Democrats Vote for Formal Coalition Talks with Angela Merkel" J.C. -- The Economist, January 21, 2018

Can It Get Any Worse? Updates on Venezuela

"Venezuelan President Set to Run for Re-Election in 2018 Vote" Vivian Sequera and Alexandra Ulmer -- Reuters, January 23, 2018

"How Much Worse Can It Get for Venezuela's State Oil Firm PDVSA?" Amy Meyers Jeffe -- Council on Foreign Relations, January 23, 2018

"The Death Spiral of Venezuela's Oil Sector and What, if Anything, Can Be Done About It" Francisco Monaldi -- Forbes, January 24, 2018